Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 83.129052 92.967910 102.983483 113.910867 125.467123 137.296385 150.291925
2025-09-28 65.961608 79.976102 94.855278 111.701803 130.125832 149.553677 171.481800
2025-10-05 59.319724 76.110308 94.454693 115.728798 139.483682 164.980089 194.209183
2025-10-12 53.409665 72.185965 93.234632 118.156954 146.474779 177.310932 213.103224
2025-10-19 46.904054 66.859780 89.814849 117.545634 149.575052 184.918606 226.404022
2025-10-26 41.425580 62.224448 86.750430 116.937552 152.325360 191.836738 238.668206
2025-11-02 37.373966 58.961322 85.003471 117.593669 156.294056 199.939174 252.094885
2025-11-09 33.093084 55.048059 82.179454 116.716422 158.262050 205.580985 262.578123
2025-11-16 29.795071 52.134428 80.369949 116.872818 161.290296 212.318682 274.206972
2025-11-23 26.322421 48.704665 77.691780 115.779504 162.675310 217.023315 283.391183
2025-11-30 24.264712 47.053498 77.164197 117.245226 167.054149 225.169513 296.511537
2025-12-07 22.516238 45.698001 76.918410 118.981658 171.698660 233.584264 309.913267
2025-12-14 19.896166 42.898460 74.655771 118.101503 173.127798 238.211145 318.945612
2025-12-21 17.024994 39.466192 71.359047 115.749862 172.632002 240.463255 325.128261
2025-12-28 16.527519 39.686348 73.055622 119.874703 180.188236 252.377577 342.732041
2026-01-04 15.559347 39.066720 73.525226 122.348833 185.650907 261.754378 357.323667
2026-01-11 13.759501 36.917032 71.721479 121.725751 187.144638 266.277714 366.104511
2026-01-18 12.128082 34.889223 69.983467 121.105412 188.576728 270.678045 374.701419
2026-01-25 10.976845 33.591872 69.239640 121.774683 191.617209 277.018006 385.606053
2026-02-01 9.549038 31.630322 67.407415 120.879855 192.587529 280.773243 393.368952
2026-02-08 8.491932 30.250450 66.379491 121.039390 194.882783 286.135258 403.052546
2026-02-15 7.266661 28.374913 64.490262 119.924099 195.461248 289.329853 410.080037
2026-02-22 6.662994 27.718382 64.472464 121.419263 199.448235 296.758502 422.252139